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The Great Dane
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Denmark, Superliga:
Frem Copenhagen vs AGF Aarhus pk, 1.80 @ Pointbet

Spain, Primera Division:
Villarreal -1/4 vs Osasuna, 1.85 @ PSC
 

acw

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Duckstabber,

Do you have any opinion on Nordsjaelland-Odense?
 

The Great Dane
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I'm leaning towards Odense -1/4 @ 1.80 (PSC) but it's not really a strong opinion...
Nordsjælland finished 3rd last season with 10-1-5, 27-21 at home while Odense finished 4th with 2-6-8, 21-34 on the road. Nordsjælland are in crisis at the moment and the coach Christian Andersen might very well get sacked if things don't improve soon. They're still a decent team at home though (2-3-3, 9-15) and Odense aren't great on the road 2-3-2, 16-12.
The injury situation at Nordsjælland continues to look bad and at least a few key players won't play today. Based on that and the difference in the team's current form, I'd go with Odense -1/4 if I had to have a bet.

I hope this helps a little...
 

The Great Dane
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Spain, Primera Division:
Real Sociedad vs FC Barcelona pk, 2.00 @ Bet365 (1/2 unit)
 

acw

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Nordsjælland finished 3rd last season with 10-1-5, 27-21 at home while Odense finished 4th with 2-6-8, 21-34 on the road.
This what I call purely objective information never interests me, as it is all programmed in my database and it is not hard for me to form an opinion on that.

Nordsjælland are in crisis at the moment and the coach Christian Andersen might very well get sacked if things don't improve soon.
Well he got a nice winner yesterday!

The injury situation at Nordsjælland continues to look bad and at least a few key players won't play today.
Well based on yesterday's result those key players better stay injured a little longer.

I hope this helps a little...
Let me tell you what did happen:
I got this phone call yesterday morning from my square friend that lives on some remote Indonesian Island and likes to have a big bet. I have an excellent paying relationship with this guy, (though what has to be added to that is that he is flying lately), so hard for me to reject any of his big bets. His new leagues of expertise are Denmark and Switzerland. I have no team news on any of those matches in my database. Yes, I have an opinion on just the team's result, but that is about all and you will not see me disagree often with Indosoccer on that, so with Indosoccer's unbelievable low vig, one only needs a bit of a sensible subjective opinion to beat them. You may understand that as a consequence of that I do not like offering Indosoccer’s prices. Simply too easy to beat, if you are in the know. So this guy called me like 9AM Hong Kong time and told me that he saw Odense being offered at –1/4 with Indosoccer. In Macau it was going to be (the match had not opened yet) –1/2, so I already on the phone made this:”Pffff”. No wonder he wants to bet on them with Indosoccer, if they have them at –1/4 1.825 and Macau will have them at –1/2 1.975 (a price that never changed the whole day by the way). His bet was so big that I did not want to take it myself and would have to lay it off, but at 9AM all these bookies here in Asia are still asleep, so I could not lay it off directly, so I told him that. BetFair had very little (100 pounds) available on Odense to win at 2.10, which on those high scoring Danish matches, so fewer draw chances, was simply better than what Indosoccer offered, Macau was going to be 1.975, which was less valuable than Indosoccer and objectively spoken Indosoccer had it spot on IMO, so I told him that I was willing to offer him Even Money on Odense to win the match. His reaction:”That is even better, they will win anyhow!”. Now you may look at this as ‘Oh thank God, the guy is still square, if he thinks like that’, but the truth is that the best gamblers in the world even talk like that and then I am not talking about guys that through line shopping with the many books available manage to get some 10% on turnover (something one also gets by just backing Manchester United and nothing else for years already), no I am talking about those that truly manage to beat the Asian market (Indosport) for as high as 18% on turnover. So there you go! Some guy discovered that the Danish and Swiss leagues are easily beatable and he wants to have an exorbitant big amount on one of the teams. What would you do?

Anyhow Indosoccer put up those matches recently and so did Macau this past weekend. Which (Danish) websites can give me the teams of the past few years. I need to add those players to my database?
 

The Great Dane
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"This what I call purely objective information never interests me, as it is all programmed in my database and it is not hard for me to form an opinion on that.
"


Well, I had a feeling it wouldn't interest you but I was just trying to tell that Nordsjælland are better than their current position in the league indicates.
Anyway, I'm not sure that you can find the teams of the past few years anywhere... I'll ask some people at a Danish betting site I frequent if they know of such a site though.

At www.bold.dk and www.onside.dk you can find the current teams from the top 3 Danish divisions as well as detailed match- and player information. You're from Holland, right? Then you might be able to understand a bit of what's on the sites - but if you need any help, feel free to ask me, either here or via duckstabber@aarhusmail.dk
 

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acw,

So if you laid it off which I presume you did, as you confess you know nothing on that league, then why with such an exorbitant amount the line NEVER moved, neither in Macau, nor in Indosoccer, nor anywhere ???
It's clear that these newly offered leagues received ZERO action on most of the games.

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Some guy discovered that the Danish and Swiss leagues are easily beatable and he wants to have an exorbitant big amount on one of the teams. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Would you conclude that from one case only ??
 

acw

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Duckstabber,

The Onside one looks like the type of site I am looking for. Danish is no problem for me.
Thanks very much!

matahari,

So if you laid it off which I presume you did, as you confess you know nothing on that league, then why with such an exorbitant amount the line NEVER moved, neither in Macau, nor in Indosoccer, nor anywhere ???
Have you seen any big price moves as of late? I have not!

It's clear that these newly offered leagues received ZERO action on most of the games.
Lets have Duckstabber answer this question!

Would you conclude that from one case only ??
Well making the assumption that it is all his own money, then if his biggest bet ever is on one of those leagues, then he must be rather confident.

Anyhow tonight he bet on Aachen, which is not available with Macauslot. This time the price moved with Indosoccer. Fvck he! Maybe this guy is up to something! I will try to get some spy working on it.

[This message was edited by acw on January 15, 2004 at 03:48 AM.]
 

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